Iran Press/ America: Biden leads Trump by 9 points, 52% to 43%, among likely voters, the survey finds. This is the first time this election cycle the poll has screened for likely voters — this narrower group is the most likely to actually cast a ballot, compared to the larger group of people who are registered to vote.
Against Trump, Biden shows strength among white voters with a college degree, especially white women; women overall; young voters; and those who live in cities and suburbs.
Trump's strengths are with white evangelicals; whites without a degree, especially white men without one; and those who live in rural areas or small towns.
With likely independent voters, Biden leads by 21 points, 57% to 36%. Trump won independents by 4 points in 2016.
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