Tehran (IP) - Iranian and Afghan political figures and experts shared their ideas on the possible scenarios for the future of Afghanistan.

Iran PressIran news: The International Association of Muslim University Professors held a meeting on Wednesday on the Recent Developments in Afghanistan to discuss the latest situation in the country, its developments, and ongoing talks to resolve the issues.

The meeting was attended by various Iranian and Afghan political figures, university professors, and experts on Afghanistan in Tehran. 

Participatory transitional government; Peace solution in Afghanistan

Speaking at the meeting, Rasoul Mousavi, the director-general of the West Asia department at the Iranian Foreign Ministry, referred to Iran's plan for talks in Tehran between Taliban and the Republic faction, comprising of Ashraf Ghani, President of Afghanistan, Abdullah Abdullah, head of the High Council for National Reconciliation (HCNR) and other groups who share the power in the Asian country.

"The formation of a joint transitional government between the Taliban and the Republic faction would lead to peace in Afghanistan," he stressed.

Mousavi went on to elaborate on the latest situation in the field, saying: "According to the latest statistics approved by the government, the Taliban and neutral institutions; Approximately 207 districts are under the control of the Taliban, 72 districts in the conflict zone and 122 districts are under the control of the government.

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The director-general of the West Asia department at the Iranian Foreign Ministry added: "45% of the territory of Afghanistan is in the hands of the Taliban and 26% in the hands of the government and also 29% is the conflict zone; In the current situation, the Taliban has the upper hand in this country."

Afghanistan's four possible scenarios for future

Mousavi considered the implementation of four scenarios in Afghanistan possible and said: "The scenario of reviving Taliban's Islamic government, the scenario of the Taliban negotiating with different groups, such as the government and the Republic faction and the HCNR, etc., the scenario resulting from the Taliban agreement with Ghani's government. A new civil war between different Afghan ethnic groups is also a possible scenario for Afghanistan's future.

He added: "The establishment of an Islamic government by the Taliban, as in the past, is faced with the weakness of illegitimacy and recognition of this government by the international community because the structure of Afghanistan can not be based on one ethnicity and will lead to a new war in the region."

"In the scenario of an agreement with Ghani's government, given that the northern regions were captured without any conflict, some believe that there is a secret agreement between the president's team and the Taliban, and this possibility cannot be ignored," he said.

US prevented peace in Afghanistan 5 years ago

Mousavi further explained Iran's peace plan and the Tehran Intra-Afghan meeting, saying: "In the Taliban negotiation scenario, unlike what happened in Doha, etc., in the Tehran negotiations, the team against the Taliban was the Republic faction, representing all influential groups, even the President of Afghanistan." 

The Iranian diplomat noted: "We believe the outcome of the talks between the Taliban and the Republic faction will serve the interests of the neighbors and the Afghan government."

He added: "In this scenario, with the formation of a joint transitional government between the Taliban and the Republic faction, peace will be established in Afghanistan."

Mousavi said: "Five years ago, Tehran presented its plan for talks between the Taliban and the Afghan government. This plan was presented during the visit of Ali Shamkhani, Secretary of our Supreme National Security Council, to Kabul in January 1997, and the Taliban announced its readiness to negotiate with the government. At the time, the government said it will decide on the matter but the Americans did not allow the talks to yield result," he stressed.

He called the reason for the Americans' withdrawal from Afghanistan their definite defeat. "The United States is working to start a war between the Afghans that will have very dangerous consequences for the region," he said.

There will be no peace in Afghanistan in the next two months

"We do not envision a peaceful future in Afghanistan until the next two months," said Reza Sadr al-Husseini, director of the Afghanistan Studies Group at the International Association of Muslim University Professors.

"The United States is to blame for the current situation in Afghanistan," he said.

US, behind the current situation in Afghanistan

Secretary-General of the Afghanistan Welfare's Party Mohammad-Hassan Jafari said: "The United States is the main factor behind the current situation in Afghanistan; The government should reach out to the people instead of relying on Washington."

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