Iran Press/ Asia: Umar Sialvi says the delay in holding elections has harmed the country but can be justified given different situations including economic, security, and even political situations.
"In a situation where there is no political stability, political parties distrusted each other and the institutions organizing the elections, security threats, especially terrorism, is very high in the country, and most importantly, the country's economic conditions are so dire that there were even rumors of bankruptcy, the delay in the elections is justified."
Problems in cooperation with the International Monetary Fund turned out to be such that the interim government was more involved in national affairs and macro-decisions than expected, he added to the factors justifying the delay, Sialvi said.
He stressed that if all institutions fulfill their duties in accordance with the constitution, many problems will not arise at all.
With regard to the performance of the interim government ruling in Pakistan, he admired the performance as it has fulfilled its duties well despite the fact that the pressure on the interim government has been the most in the political history of Pakistan.
"In a situation where you are forced to interact with international financial institutions, and on the one hand, there are so many economic issues such that bankruptcy gets possible, the interim government has performed very well."
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The Pakistani political analyst explained that every administration and institution has a ritual duty, and the National Election Commission is no exception to this rule, he noted and said a few months ago committee was not ready to hold elections, but now it is fully announcing its readiness to hold transparent elections, which is good and indicates that it has also performed well.
He referred to the Pakistan Muslim League, People Party, and Pakistan Tahrik-e-Insaf as the three main political parties in Pakistan and said the latter is not so active in the election campaigns.
Yet, he referred to other parties and noted that sometimes these parties have influenced the fate of elections in Pakistan such that often the winning party of the elections has needed unity with the smaller parties to form a cabinet.
Pakistan Muslim League, People Party were the two parties he believed were likely to win the election in Pakistan. There again he predicted that PML would likely win the elections given the last 6-month developments in Pakistan, particularly after the riots on May 9, 2023.
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Umar Sialvi predicts the elections across Pakistan as follows:In Baluchistan province, I think it is possible that the PML party and its coalition parties can jointly form a government.
In the state of Punjab, in my opinion, the party that can challenge the PML is the newly established Istehkam-e-Pakistan party, whose candidates each have a record of membership in local and national parliaments several times.
Of course, I expect that in the state of Punjab, Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party will eventually join the PML Party and form a joint government.
The state of Sindh, as always, belongs to the People's Party and no surprise is expected from any other party.
In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, I believe the Jamiat Ulema Islam Party can perform better than other parties; the former parliamentary members of the Tehreek-e-Insaf Party, who have formed a new party under the leadership of former Defense Minister Parvez Khatak, can also achieve a number of seats in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa state, but they cannot form a government in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa alone, they can unite with other parties; everything will be clear after February 8.
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