Israel upheld a ceasefire with Iran following the 12-day conflict in June 2025, a rare move, according to Nigerian security analyst Dr. Abdullahi Yalwa.

Why it matters:

Yalwa argues Israel and the U.S. were “on their knees” due to Iran’s missile attacks.

He says Israel’s compliance was not out of goodwill but because continued fighting risked “total demolition.”

Historically, Israel has been criticized for exploiting ceasefire agreements without adhering to their terms.

The big picture:

Israel’s military strength, Yalwa noted, is entirely reliant on U.S. support.

He points to Washington’s consistent backing of Israel, even against global consensus on Palestinian statehood.

Zoom out:

Iran’s IRGC recently unveiled indigenous reconnaissance and combat drones, along with the Sahand Destroyer.

Yalwa praised these advances as breaking the superpowers’ monopoly on military technology.

He said Iran’s allies can “sleep with both eyes closed,” while its enemies are forced to reconsider their strategies.

Bottom line:

Israel’s decision to honor the ceasefire highlights the growing military pressure Iran can exert, while its expanding domestic defense industry signals a shift in regional power dynamics.

Go deeper:

U.S. Critic Acknowledges Iran’s Missile Strength in Recent 12-Day Conflict

Hossein Amiri - ahmad shirzadian