Why it matters:
Europe is attempting to redefine its geopolitical posture amid what von der Leyen called a “seismic shift” in global power structures.
Trump’s return to the White House has revived concerns in European capitals about U.S. reliability, especially after years of tension over defense spending, trade, and strategic autonomy.
The EU’s struggle to maintain a coherent foreign policy highlights its vulnerability when major partners disregard agreements.
The big picture:
Europe’s political shield, long anchored in transatlantic cooperation, is under strain as Washington signals a more transactional approach to alliances.
Trump's negotiations with Russia over Ukraine and the exclusion of Europe from the negotiating table, pressure on NATO allies, and public opinion regarding the acquisition of Greenland have all contributed to Europeans' fear of being strategically marginalized.
Von der Leyen’s call for “a new European independence” reflects a broader debate inside the EU about reducing reliance on the U.S. in defense, technology, and energy.
What he’s saying:
Araghchi wrote on X that Europe is now experiencing the consequences of its earlier alignment with Washington. He noted von der Leyen’s strong reaction to the U.S. withdrawal from a recent EU agreement, despite Europe having supported Trump when he abandoned the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) during his first term.
He warned that selective respect for agreements risks eroding the foundations of international diplomacy, writing that “either all deals are deals, or no handshake means anything.”
Araghchi also referenced Trump’s past suggestion of acquiring Greenland, describing it as an example of how unilateral impulses can challenge international norms.
Between the lines:
Araghchi’s remarks tap into a growing European anxiety: that the continent may be forced to navigate an increasingly unstable global order without the predictable backing of its traditional ally.
Go deeper:
European Council Warns U.S. Against Meddling in Europe’s Politics
Hossein Amiri - Hossein Vaez
