Why it matters:
The ICC’s warning signals growing international recognition of the atrocities unfolding in Sudan, with the potential for increased accountability for the RSF's actions. These developments come amid escalating fears of widespread violence and famine in the region, which could further destabilize Sudan and deepen its fragmentation.
The big picture:
The RSF, a paramilitary group led by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemedti), is at the heart of Sudan’s ongoing conflict. Since seizing El-Fasher on October 26, the RSF has carried out brutal attacks that have displaced tens of thousands and resulted in widespread atrocities. As Sudan’s conflict continues, concerns are growing that the country’s division may deepen, with catastrophic consequences for its population.
What they’re saying:
ICC Office of the Prosecutor: "We express profound alarm and deepest concern over the reports of mass killings, rapes, and other crimes allegedly committed during the course of the RSF attacks."
RSF Video Statement: The RSF released a video on Monday, stating it is "amassing a large force" in preparation for the “imminent liberation of El-Obeid,” the state capital of North Kordofan.
Key points:
- El-Fasher's seizure: On October 26, the RSF captured El-Fasher, committing massacres against civilians during their assault.
- Mass casualties: Since the RSF’s offensive, more than 2,500 civilians are estimated to have been executed or murdered.
- Famine conditions: The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) confirmed famine in both El-Fasher and Kadugli, with 375,000 people already facing famine conditions in Darfur and Kordofan.
- Displacement: Tens of thousands of civilians have fled El-Fasher, with many still missing.
State of play:
The RSF is poised for further conflict, focusing on the city of El-Obeid, currently controlled by Sudan’s Armed Forces. Both sides are gearing up for a major battle in this strategic location. The situation in Darfur and Kordofan has become dire, with millions of people facing extreme hunger and displacement.
By the numbers:
2,500+ civilians have been killed since the RSF's assault on El-Fasher.
375,000 people in Darfur and Kordofan are already facing famine conditions.
6.3 million people across Sudan are at risk of slipping into famine.
Go deeper:
RSF Claims Arrests Over Abuses in al-Fasher
Hossein Vaez - ahmad shirzadian
