Iran Press/ America: Overall, the assassination attempt presents both risks and opportunities for Trump's campaign. While it could undermine his security and distract from his message, the shooting may also galvanize support and shift the political narrative in his favor.
Threats
The attack could undermine public confidence in Trump's ability to safely campaign and serve as president if he is perceived as vulnerable to violence.
It may raise concerns about the security of future campaign events and the Republican National Convention, potentially disrupting Trump's plans.
The tragedy could shift the political narrative away from Trump's campaign messaging and towards the shooting investigation, distracting from his policy agenda.
Opportunities
The shooting could generate sympathy and support for Trump, portraying him as a victim of political violence.
Footage of Trump defiantly raising his fist after the attack is likely to become an "iconic" image that boosts his image as a resilient leader.
Republican strategist James Davis believes the shooting will "give Trump another boost in this election overall" by reinforcing the narrative of him being unfairly persecuted.
The attack may overshadow Trump's recent criminal convictions and ongoing legal troubles, allowing him to refocus the campaign on his political agenda.
In the aftermath of the Reagan assassination attempt in 1981, the president saw an 8-point poll boost that lasted for months. A similar effect could benefit Trump.
303
