A forecasting model by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington predicts that the US coronavirus death tally will pass 410,000 deaths by January 1, 2021.

Iran PressAmerica: That figure drops to around 286,000 deaths if 95% of Americans wear masks when leaving their homes. However, the figure could also reach as high as 620,000 deaths if social distancing mandates are lifted and not re-imposed, and mask usage rates remain unchanged, reported by Sputnik.

The most recent projections also show that cumulative worldwide COVID-19 deaths could reach a total of 2.8 million by January 1, in which case about 1.9 million more people will die because of the respiratory illness by the end of 2020. The model also predicts that worldwide daily deaths from COVID-19 in December could reach 30,000.

The forecast indicates that the 10 countries with the highest cumulative death tolls by January 1 will be India, the US, Japan, Spain, Brazil, Mexico, the Philippines, France, Russia, and the Netherlands.

The same model also predicts that the US COVID-19 death toll will exceed 260,000 by Election Day on November 3. 


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