Iran Press/ Middle East: The question arises as to whether this transfer of power will lead to restoring ceasefire and starting political talks with the National Salvation Government (NSG) in Sanaa led by Ansarullah or, conversely, in order to resolve the internal disputes and rivalries of the invading coalition and the mercenaries under them, so that they can emerge with a superior position in future battles through internal reconstruction and reorganization?
The stated positions of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, the United States and the European Union are that this transfer of power from Mansour Hadi to the eight-member Presidential Council is aimed at establishing a ceasefire and starting political negotiations with the Ansarullah National Salvation Government in Sanaa.
In this regard, at the end of the meeting of the Yemeni groups in Riyadh, the Secretary-General of the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council, Nayef Al- Hajraf said: "The success of the meeting of the Yemeni groups is an important turning point in achieving comprehensive peace and moving the country from war to the prospect of peace."
"Riyadh has called on the Supreme Council to begin negotiations with the UN-auspices talks with Ansarallah movement to reach a final and comprehensive political solution, which includes a transitional phase," the official Saudi news agency SPA reported.
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According to the UAE's official WAM news agency, the UAE Foreign Ministry considered the transfer of power in the framework of completing the transition process and the full delegation of executive powers and presidential powers [according to the constitution and the efforts of the Arab states in the Persian Gulf] and welcomed it.
Outside the region, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken tweeted: "We welcome the announcement of the formation of a Presidential Leadership Council in Yemen. We support Yemenis' aspirations for an effective, democratic, and transparent government that includes diverse political and civil society voices, including women and marginalized groups."
According to the EU website, this encouraging move underlies the recent two-month ceasefire between the parties involved in the UN-mediated conflict and could accelerate a comprehensive political settlement of the conflict in Yemen. "We urge all actors to respect the ceasefire and to engage with UN Special Representative Hans Grandberg without preconditions," it said.
Now the question that arises is to what extent can the positions of the Saudi-Emirati coalition and its Western allies, both American and European, be considered real and trusted? Or basically what are the reasons that make it conceivable? In response, there are some reasons to suggest that the invading coalition and its Western backers, given the increasing deterrent power of the Ansarullah National Salvation Government at all levels, land, sea, and air, can now act as a professional army to target the strategic centers and facilities of the aggressor governments and their Israeli and Western supporters, and also given the necessities of the Ukraine war, they see no other way but to establish a ceasefire and start political negotiations.
But at the same time, there are cases that cast doubt on the correctness of the statements made by the aggressor governments against Yemen and their Western backers. Among other things, they have not and have not adhered to the provisions of the ceasefire, and while less than a week has passed since the ceasefire was announced, they have violated it more than a hundred times, and according to the ceasefire agreement, all Yemeni seized ships were supposed to be able to unload their cargo in areas under the control of the Ansarullah National Salvation Government, but so far a small number of them have been allowed to do so, and some of these ships have even been pirated by forces and mercenaries of aggressor governments.
On the other hand, all the efforts of the Israeli regime have been and are based on being able to reach a military alliance with the Arab countries who are normalizing ties, and at the same time force Saudi Arabia to normalize ties with this regime in any way possible. Achieving this goal will be possible when the war in Yemen does not end and the aggressor governments sink deeper into the quagmire of the Yemeni war in order to feel the greater need for this regime.
Therefore, the possibility that this regime will again encourage Saudi Arabia and the UAE to strengthen their military approach in Yemen in the light of the results of the Riyadh summit, or that these countries themselves will reach such a conclusion is not far off, and therefore for this reason, one cannot hope much for the impact of the Riyadh meeting or the transfer of power from Mansour Hadi to the Presidential Council on establishing a ceasefire and paving the way for political negotiations, unless there is a fundamental change in the approach of the invading governments and its approach is conformed to their stated positions.
By: Ahmad Kazemzadeh
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