In a surprise upset, the far-right Reform UK party, led by Nigel Farage, has outperformed the ruling Labour Party in select races during the U.K.’s local, mayoral, and by-elections, signaling a potential shift in the country’s political landscape.

Why it matters:

The early results hint at a dramatic reshuffling of British politics. Reform U.K., a smaller anti-establishment party, is now challenging the dominance of both Labour and the Conservatives, potentially fracturing the traditional two-party structure.

 

Key points:

  • In the Runcorn and Helsby constituency, Reform U.K. defeated the Labour candidate by a razor-thin margin of six votes, marking a symbolic victory against the ruling party.
  • Of six mayoral posts up for direct election, Labour secured three, while Reform U.K. clinched its first-ever mayoralty—another milestone for the rising party.
  • Reform’s newly elected mayor in Greater Lincolnshire, Andrea Jenkyns, is a former Conservative figure, underscoring the party’s ability to siphon off disillusioned Tory voters.

 

The big picture:

These local and by-election results are widely seen as a bellwether for national political sentiment. Reform U.K.'s success reflects growing public dissatisfaction with mainstream parties and rising traction for populist, right-wing alternatives.

 

Go deeper:

Founded by Brexit architect Nigel Farage, Reform U.K. has positioned itself as a voice for “forgotten voters.” Its wins in these local contests could embolden the party ahead of the next general election. The growing success of hard-right parties across Europe adds weight to the trend.

Mojtaba Darabi