Driving the news:
A New York Times survey aggregate, cited by Newsweek, reports that 55% of voters disapprove of Trump’s performance, while 41% approve.
Why it matters:
Trump has historically relied on a consistent Republican-leaning base and favorable numbers from select pollsters to counter broader negative national polling. The across-the-board decline suggests his support may be eroding even among typically favorable demographics.
By the numbers:
The latest J.L. Partners poll—conducted Nov. 19–20 among 1,200 registered voters—shows 49% disapprove of Trump’s performance and 41% approve.
In October, the same firm recorded Trump’s approval at 46%, indicating a noticeable month-to-month decline.
The Rasmussen survey, conducted Nov. 12–20 among 3,000 voters, finds 51% disapprove, and 46% approve of Trump’s performance.
Even Rasmussen, often cited by Republicans and traditionally excluded from NYT aggregates for its GOP-leaning tendencies, now reports negative numbers.
Catch up quick:
For years, Rasmussen’s daily tracking had served as Trump’s most reliable positive benchmark, often diverging sharply from mainstream polling institutions. Its downturn effectively removes the last consistently favorable metric.
Zoom in:
The two fresh polls share a common trend: the gap between approval and disapproval widened beyond previous monthly fluctuations, signaling a shift that pollsters say could be structural rather than temporary.
Trump has not directly addressed the new figures, but his campaign in recent months has routinely dismissed unfavorable polls as “inaccurate” or “biased.” None of those statements, however, references these latest specific surveys.
Go deeper:
While polls do not determine electoral outcomes, approval ratings are a key indicator of political momentum—especially for candidates seeking to solidify their base ahead of high-stakes national contests.
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Zohre Khazaee - seyed mohammad kazemi